Daily cycle card--

Cycle playbook · TIDE --

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Reading the latest public market data.

BTC price –
Balanced price –
Realized price –
Compass –
Time-based capitulation –
Clock –

Educational, not financial advice · the same card we post daily on Telegram.

BTC-only public-data cycle terminal

Bitcoin cyclecockpit

CryptoTIDE reads the Bitcoin cycle with public data and turns it into a simple regime map: when BTC looks historically cheap, when trend is healthy, when leverage is crowded, and when top-risk pressure is rising.

Why CryptoTIDE exists — read the manifesto →

BTC/USD · cycle pulse --
Current phase -- reading cycle position
Since cycle peak -- drawdown pending
Peak→low so far -- cycle low pending
BTC --
Compass --
Clock --
Partial TP --
Funding 8h --

BTC current cycle read

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Reading the latest public market data.

Cycle Compass

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Clock phase–
Bottom evidence–
Top-risk evidence–

Waiting for clock and state evidence. Timing-led reads appear when the two axes diverge.

BTC spot
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Realized
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Thermo price
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MVRV-Z
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MVRV
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Mayer
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Drawdown
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Funding 8h
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OI 30d
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Partial TP
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Tactical
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Date
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0 Accumulation zone0.5 Neutral1 Euphoria

Short term

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14-day pressure from daily public data.

Medium term

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90-day trend and moving-average context.

Long term

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Cycle valuation from TIDE, MVRV-Z, and Mayer.

4-year cycle map

ATL to next ATL: how the Bitcoin cycle usually breathes

Open DCA planner

The full Bitcoin cycle is best read from one terminal low to the next terminal low. TIDE helps on the left side of the cycle, where value appears. Cycle Compass adds the post-halving clock and top-risk evidence, where pure on-chain heat can fade across cycles.

ATLCapitulation Accumulation ATH / top window Distribution Bear / bottomwatch Next ATL prints later Current readBear / bottom watch Bottom evidence Clock prior Top-risk evidence TIDE 2.0 overlay: Cycle Compass = post-halving clock + evidence families

Shows how Cycle Compass sits on top of the ideal cycle: time is the prior; bottom/top evidence confirms or weakens the read.

1 · Capitulation / ATLBuild the plan

Why: forced sellers and miner/holder stress often create value. TIDE helps by flashing bottom evidence, not by calling the exact low.

2 · AccumulationScale spot DCA

Why: cycle heat is low and trend repair begins. The DCA planner turns monthly budget into today's manual buy and optional BTD limit orders.

3 · MarkupRide the trend

Why: trend improves before euphoria. TIDE stops overreacting to noise; Compass checks whether the clock still supports expansion.

4 · Top windowStop adding leverage

Why: time-from-halving starts to matter more. Compass looks for top-risk confluence across NUPL, MVRV, Mayer, Puell and Pi Cycle.

5 · DistributionReduce risk pressure

Why: upside can continue, but the asymmetry worsens. Partial TP pressure is a risk-management dashboard, not an automatic sell signal.

6 · Bear / next ATLPrepare the next budget

Why: terminal lows are confirmed only after the fact. TIDE/Compass help separate local washout from a real bottom-window setup.

Cycle Evidence Lab

NUPL, MVRV-Z, Mayer, Puell, Pi Cycle, and TIDE bottom lens

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Spot DCA

offcold long-cycle valuation

Perp Leverage

offcycle recovery plus trend support

Ride Trend + Defensive Shorts

offtrend constructive, hedge only if crowded

No New Leverage

offstretch or derivatives heat rising

Partial TP

offrisk pressure composite

Bearish / Capital Defense

offhot cycle plus weak trend

BTC overview

Cycle dashboard readout

public BTC data
ATH ––
RSI 14D ––
EMA stack ––
7D trend –short pulse
30D trend –medium pressure
90D trend –cycle drift
200D trend –macro filter
Leverage ––
Partial TP ––

Free public data room

This dashboard stays free.

If these BTC cycle readings helped you navigate the market with less emotion and a longer-term view, you can send a voluntary thank-you.

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Cost-basis bands

BTC spot vs holder cost basis and Thermo security floor

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BTC Realized STH realized LTH realized Thermo floor

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Name meaning

Why TIDE?

In markets, liquidity moves like a tide: it comes in, lifts prices, drains out, and exposes risk. In older English, tide also meant a time, season, or phase. That is the point of this crypto cycle data room: not a trading signal, but a daily read on the market's phase.

For people searching

Bitcoin cycle dashboard, crypto market cycle dashboard, MVRV Z-Score, Bitcoin undervalued or overvalued, crypto risk gauge, and crypto DCA calculator.

What TIDE answers

Is BTC closer to accumulation, early expansion, neutral, distribution, or euphoria based on transparent public data?

The question everyone asks

Where are we in the Bitcoin cycle?

The short answer is at the top of this page: CryptoTIDE reads Bitcoin's position in its roughly four-year market cycle every day from public on-chain and market data, and prints it as the live TIDE score (0–1), the Cycle Compass verdict, and a single action band. Bitcoin's cycle is historically organised around the halving (every ~210,000 blocks, about every four years): a bottoming/accumulation phase, a post-halving expansion, a euphoric top, and a drawdown/bear phase. No one can time it precisely, so CryptoTIDE reports where the weight of the public evidence sits, not a prediction.

The current cycle position is shown live above and updated daily. As a stable reference, the TIDE score maps to these cycle zones:

How this is computed (halving clock, MVRV Z-Score, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple, NUPL, Pi Cycle and more) is documented on the methodology page, and common questions are answered in the Bitcoin cycle FAQ. This is educational public-data context, not financial advice.