Cycle playbook · TIDE --
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Reading the latest public market data.
Educational, not financial advice · the same card we post daily on Telegram.
BTC-only public-data cycle terminal
Bitcoin cyclecockpit
CryptoTIDE reads the Bitcoin cycle with public data and turns it into a simple regime map: when BTC looks historically cheap, when trend is healthy, when leverage is crowded, and when top-risk pressure is rising.
Why CryptoTIDE exists — read the manifesto →
BTC current cycle read
Reading the latest public market data.
Cycle Compass
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Waiting for clock and state evidence. Timing-led reads appear when the two axes diverge.
- BTC spot
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- Realized
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- Thermo price
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- MVRV-Z
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- MVRV
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- Mayer
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- Drawdown
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- Funding 8h
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- OI 30d
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- Partial TP
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- Tactical
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- Date
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Short term
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14-day pressure from daily public data.
Medium term
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90-day trend and moving-average context.
Long term
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Cycle valuation from TIDE, MVRV-Z, and Mayer.
4-year cycle map
ATL to next ATL: how the Bitcoin cycle usually breathes
The full Bitcoin cycle is best read from one terminal low to the next terminal low. TIDE helps on the left side of the cycle, where value appears. Cycle Compass adds the post-halving clock and top-risk evidence, where pure on-chain heat can fade across cycles.
Shows how Cycle Compass sits on top of the ideal cycle: time is the prior; bottom/top evidence confirms or weakens the read.
Why: forced sellers and miner/holder stress often create value. TIDE helps by flashing bottom evidence, not by calling the exact low.
Why: cycle heat is low and trend repair begins. The DCA planner turns monthly budget into today's manual buy and optional BTD limit orders.
Why: trend improves before euphoria. TIDE stops overreacting to noise; Compass checks whether the clock still supports expansion.
Why: time-from-halving starts to matter more. Compass looks for top-risk confluence across NUPL, MVRV, Mayer, Puell and Pi Cycle.
Why: upside can continue, but the asymmetry worsens. Partial TP pressure is a risk-management dashboard, not an automatic sell signal.
Why: terminal lows are confirmed only after the fact. TIDE/Compass help separate local washout from a real bottom-window setup.
Cycle Evidence Lab
NUPL, MVRV-Z, Mayer, Puell, Pi Cycle, and TIDE bottom lens
Spot DCA
offcold long-cycle valuationPerp Leverage
offcycle recovery plus trend supportRide Trend + Defensive Shorts
offtrend constructive, hedge only if crowdedNo New Leverage
offstretch or derivatives heat risingPartial TP
offrisk pressure compositeBearish / Capital Defense
offhot cycle plus weak trendBTC overview
Cycle dashboard readout
Free public data room
This dashboard stays free.
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Cost-basis bands
BTC spot vs holder cost basis and Thermo security floor
Loading public cost-basis data.
Name meaning
Why TIDE?
In markets, liquidity moves like a tide: it comes in, lifts prices, drains out, and exposes risk. In older English, tide also meant a time, season, or phase. That is the point of this crypto cycle data room: not a trading signal, but a daily read on the market's phase.
For people searching
Bitcoin cycle dashboard, crypto market cycle dashboard, MVRV Z-Score, Bitcoin undervalued or overvalued, crypto risk gauge, and crypto DCA calculator.
What TIDE answers
Is BTC closer to accumulation, early expansion, neutral, distribution, or euphoria based on transparent public data?
The question everyone asks
Where are we in the Bitcoin cycle?
The short answer is at the top of this page: CryptoTIDE reads Bitcoin's position in its roughly four-year market cycle every day from public on-chain and market data, and prints it as the live TIDE score (0–1), the Cycle Compass verdict, and a single action band. Bitcoin's cycle is historically organised around the halving (every ~210,000 blocks, about every four years): a bottoming/accumulation phase, a post-halving expansion, a euphoric top, and a drawdown/bear phase. No one can time it precisely, so CryptoTIDE reports where the weight of the public evidence sits, not a prediction.
The current cycle position is shown live above and updated daily. As a stable reference, the TIDE score maps to these cycle zones:
- TIDE below 0.20 — Accumulation: maximum-discount / capitulation context, historically near cycle bottoms.
- 0.20–0.40 — Early accumulation: undervalued, early-expansion context.
- 0.40–0.60 — Neutral: mid-cycle; no strong valuation edge either way.
- 0.60–0.80 — Distribution: stretched valuation; rising top-risk.
- Above 0.80 — Euphoria: historically near cycle tops; profit-preservation context.
How this is computed (halving clock, MVRV Z-Score, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple, NUPL, Pi Cycle and more) is documented on the methodology page, and common questions are answered in the Bitcoin cycle FAQ. This is educational public-data context, not financial advice.